NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER

NHC Graphical Outlook Archive (Text)

« Earliest Available ‹ Earlier Later › Latest Available »
Place your mouse cursor over areas of interest for more information
Graphical TWO atl

GIS data: .shp

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM  CCA

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL...CORRECTED
800 AM EDT FRI SEP 20 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

...CORRECTED FOR THE DISTANCE FROM TAMPICO

1. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...ABOUT 90 MILES EAST OF TAMPICO
MEXICO...IS LIMITED.  THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE 
NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ONLY
MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN
AND SOUTHERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AN AIR FORCE
HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE WILL INVESTIGATE THE AREA LATER TODAY...IF
NECESSARY.

2. DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS LOCATED A FEW HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH OF BERMUDA ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT...BUT
THIS DISTURBANCE COULD ACQUIRE SOME SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS
WHILE IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD AND THEN NORTHWARD OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO

FORECASTER AVILA

List of all Atlantic Outlooks
List of all East Pacific Outlooks

Standard version of this page

Alternate Formats
About Alternates - E-Mail Advisories - RSS Feeds

Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory - Past Advisories - About Advisories

Marine Forecasts
Latest Products - About Marine Products

Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery - US Weather Radar - Aircraft Recon - Local Data Archive - Forecast Verification - Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense

Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names Wind Scale - Prepare - Climatology - NHC Glossary - NHC Acronyms - Frequently Asked Questions - AOML Hurricane-Research Division

About Us
About NHC - Mission/Vision - Other NCEP Centers - NHC Staff - Visitor Information - NHC Library

Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER

NHC Graphical Outlook Archive (Text)

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER