NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER and
CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
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ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2013 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION INGRID...LOCATED INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...AND IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO... LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES. 1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER BELIZE AND THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA IS ACCOMPANIED BY A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND EMERGE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AND THE LOW HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE LOW IS LIKELY TO DRIFT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATER IN THE WEEK...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE GENERALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT DURING THAT TIME. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT... HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO FORECASTER AVILA
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