
| GIS data: .shp |
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 PM EDT SUN SEP 15 2013 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE INGRID...LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO. 1. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HUMBERTO IS LOCATED ABOUT 1100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES ISLANDS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BEEN INCREASING AND DEVELOPING CLOSER TO THE WELL-DEFINED CIRCULATION CENTER OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR REGENERATION INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AFTER THAT...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. OTHER SYSTEMS WITH FORMATION POTENTIAL BEYOND 48 HOURS... A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER IS LOCATED OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. THIS DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WHERE A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COULD FORM BY THE END OF THE WEEK. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CAN BE FOUND UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT... HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO FORECASTER STEWART
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