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Tropical Depression Seventeen-E Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172026
300 PM CST Sun Sep 20 2026
...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION DEVELOPS TO THE SOUTH OF MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...14.9N 104.9W
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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Interests along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the
progress of this system.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
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At 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Seventeen-E was located near latitude 14.9 North, longitude 104.9
West. The depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 8
mph (13 km/h), and a turn toward the east is expected on Tuesday,
followed by a decrease in forward speed and a turn toward the north
and northwest on Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Significant strengthening is forecast, and the system is forecast to
become a tropical storm by Monday and a hurricane by Tuesday.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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Key messages for Tropical Depression Seventeen-E can be found in
the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header
MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC.
RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce rainfall totals of
4 to 8 inches, with isolated maximum totals up to 12 inches across
coastal portions of the Mexican states of Michoacán, Colima, and
Jalisco through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening
flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain.
NEXT ADVISORY
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Next complete advisory at 900 PM CST.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
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