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TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC MON AUG 31 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 145.7W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  70SW  80NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 145.7W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 145.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 12.9N 147.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.1N 149.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 13.4N 150.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 13.6N 152.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 14.0N 154.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.4N 156.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  80SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 14.9N 159.4W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  80SE  80SW 110NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 15.4N 161.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  70SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N 145.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN
 
 
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