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HURRICANE KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112026
0900 UTC SUN AUG 30 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 121.1W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
34 KT.......200NE 180SE  90SW 160NW.
4 M SEAS....300NE 270SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 121.1W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 120.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 17.6N 122.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...180NE 150SE  80SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 17.8N 124.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 17.9N 125.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.3N 127.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.9N 129.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.4N 131.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 20.3N 133.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 21.2N 136.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 110NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 121.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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