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TROPICAL STORM SONIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182025
1500 UTC SAT OCT 25 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 118.1W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  20SW  60NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 118.1W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 117.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 13.6N 118.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 13.7N 119.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 13.9N 120.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 14.4N 121.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 14.9N 122.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 15.2N 123.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 15.0N 126.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 118.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY
 
 
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