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TROPICAL STORM MARIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132025
0900 UTC MON SEP 15 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 112.3W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
4 M SEAS.... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 112.3W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 111.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 20.1N 113.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.4N 115.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.7N 117.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 24.0N 118.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 25.2N 120.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 26.0N 120.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 112.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)
 
 
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