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TROPICAL STORM MARIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132025
1500 UTC SUN SEP 14 2025
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 110.2W AT 14/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 110.2W AT 14/1500Z
AT 14/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 110.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.1N 111.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 19.9N 113.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 20.9N 115.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 22.1N 117.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 23.4N 119.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 24.0N 121.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.5N 110.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
 
 
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