ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132025
0300 UTC FRI SEP 12 2025
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  99.6W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  99.6W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  99.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.5N 101.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.1N 103.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 17.6N 105.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 18.0N 107.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 18.4N 108.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 18.9N 109.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 20.7N 112.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 23.0N 114.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N  99.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA (CPHC)
 
 
NNNN