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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132025
2100 UTC THU SEP 11 2025
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  98.8W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  98.8W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  98.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 16.1N 100.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.7N 102.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 17.3N 104.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 17.7N 106.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.2N 107.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 18.6N 109.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 20.0N 111.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 22.1N 113.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N  98.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI
 
 
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