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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112025
0900 UTC SUN AUG 31 2025
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 122.3W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 122.3W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 121.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 14.6N 123.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 14.6N 125.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 14.5N 126.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 14.4N 128.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 14.3N 130.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 14.2N 132.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 14.3N 135.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 14.3N 140.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.4N 122.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER GIBBS (CPHC)
 
 
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