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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FIVE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052025
2100 UTC MON JUN 16 2025
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N  91.7W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N  91.7W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.4N  91.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 11.1N  92.4W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 11.8N  93.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 12.6N  94.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 13.5N  95.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 14.5N  96.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 15.8N  97.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 17.0N  98.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N  91.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI/MORA/CANO
 
 
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