ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
Tropical Storm Bud Special Discussion Number   4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP022024
430 AM PDT Thu Jul 25 2024

Recent surface observations from the Mexican Navy station on Isla 
Clarion reported sustained winds of 49 kt with a pressure of 1004 
mb as Bud passed to the south of the station.  Given that ASCAT 
from a few hours ago showed vectors as high as 44 kt, the 
observations from the island are consistent.

The only change to the NHC forecast is to increase the forecast 
wind speed through the 24-hour point, due to the higher initial 
intensity.  The observations from Isla Clarion also suggest the 
gust factor is a little higher than normal, and this is indicated 
in the Forecast/Advisory.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  25/1130Z 18.0N 115.0W   50 KT  60 MPH
 12H  25/1800Z 18.1N 115.8W   50 KT  60 MPH
 24H  26/0600Z 18.2N 117.5W   40 KT  45 MPH
 36H  26/1800Z 18.1N 118.9W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  27/0600Z 17.7N 120.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  27/1800Z 17.2N 121.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  28/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Hagen/Berg
 
NNNN