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HURRICANE MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142024
2100 UTC TUE OCT 08 2024
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N  87.5W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  75 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  918 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 145 KT WITH GUSTS TO 175 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  80SE  80SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N  87.5W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N  88.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.8N  86.4W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 25.6N  84.7W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 110SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.2N  82.8W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...230NE 140SE 110SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 28.1N  80.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...240NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 28.6N  77.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  50SE  40SW  90NW.
34 KT...270NE 150SE 150SW 210NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 29.0N  75.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 130SE 130SW 180NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 30.6N  68.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 120SE 120SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 31.8N  60.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N  87.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 09/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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