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TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
2100 UTC FRI OCT 11 2024
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  49.4W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  90SE  60SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  49.4W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N  50.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 30.0N  47.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 33.5N  42.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  80SE  80SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 36.0N  36.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  90SE  80SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 37.2N  30.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  80SE  80SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 36.7N  25.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE  60SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 36.0N  21.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.6N  49.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KELLY
 
 
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