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TROPICAL STORM LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132024
1500 UTC TUE OCT 08 2024
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  45.6W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE 120SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  45.6W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  45.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 20.5N  46.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 21.7N  47.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 22.6N  48.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 23.4N  49.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 24.6N  49.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 26.3N  48.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 30.7N  43.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 34.0N  36.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  45.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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