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TROPICAL STORM BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 37
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024
2100 UTC SUN JUL 07 2024
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GFMX 280N 910W 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ALEXANDRIA LA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 16 3(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 2 1( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
FORT POLK LA 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
LAKE CHARLES 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CAMERON LA 34 14 10(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
JASPER TX 34 3 8(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
KOUNTZE TX 34 5 18(23) 2(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 7 11(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
GALVESTON TX 34 73 10(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
GALVESTON TX 50 11 16(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
GALVESTON TX 64 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
HOUSTON TX 34 44 41(85) 1(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86)
HOUSTON TX 50 1 34(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) X(35)
AUSTIN TX 34 3 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
SAN ANTONIO TX 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FREEPORT TX 34 89 3(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
FREEPORT TX 50 57 14(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
FREEPORT TX 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 280N 950W 34 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
GFMX 280N 950W 50 71 X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71)
GFMX 280N 950W 64 16 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 31 15(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
HIGH ISLAND TX 50 1 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
MATAGORDA TX 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MATAGORDA TX 50 76 7(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
MATAGORDA TX 64 38 11(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
PORT O CONNOR 34 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
PORT O CONNOR 50 74 4(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78)
PORT O CONNOR 64 37 3(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
ROCKPORT TX 34 63 X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63) X(63)
ROCKPORT TX 50 14 X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
CORPUS CHRISTI 34 22 X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
GFMX 270N 960W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GFMX 270N 960W 50 88 X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
GFMX 270N 960W 64 12 X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
HARLINGEN TX 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BROWNSVILLE TX 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GFMX 250N 960W 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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