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HURRICANE DORA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052023
2100 UTC SAT AUG 05 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 134.8W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB
EYE DIAMETER 10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 134.8W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 134.0W
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 13.1N 137.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 12.9N 140.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 12.7N 144.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 12.5N 148.3W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 12.4N 152.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 30NW.
34 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 12.3N 156.2W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 15SE 15SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 30SE 30SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 12.5N 164.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 13.5N 171.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 134.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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