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HURRICANE CALVIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032023
2100 UTC SAT JUL 15 2023
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CALVIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 130W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
15N 130W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
15N 130W 64 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
15N 135W 34 3 55(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
15N 135W 50 1 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
15N 135W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
20N 135W 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
15N 140W 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) 6(16) X(16) X(16) X(16)
20N 140W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 2(13) X(13)
20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) X(12)
BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) X(11)
20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 1(10)
18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8)
21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)
21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
NNNN
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