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HURRICANE CALVIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032023
0900 UTC SAT JUL 15 2023
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CALVIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 130W 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
15N 130W 50 78 16(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94)
15N 130W 64 32 35(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
15N 135W 34 X 10(10) 37(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) X(48)
15N 135W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
15N 135W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
20N 135W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
15N 140W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13)
20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12)
20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11)
20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10)
BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7)
20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9)
18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6)
21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
BARKING SANDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
JOINT BASE PHH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
21N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
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