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TROPICAL STORM CALVIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP032023
0900 UTC TUE JUL 18 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 147.5W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  19 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE  20SE  20SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  70SE  60SW 170NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 147.5W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 146.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.8N 150.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  20SE  20SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.5N 154.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  20SE  20SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 19.1N 158.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  20SE  20SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.6N 161.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 19.8N 165.3W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.1N 169.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 147.5W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 PHFO/HFOTCPCP1...AT 18/1200Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HOUSTON
 
 
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