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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022023
0300 UTC THU JUN 29 2023
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 96.8W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 60 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 96.8W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 96.3W
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 14.3N 98.3W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 15.4N 100.1W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 16.6N 101.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 20SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 17.9N 103.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 19.3N 105.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 20.6N 107.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 22.2N 110.2W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 22.5N 112.6W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 96.8W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 29/0600Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI/PASCH
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