ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWENTY-TWO                               
WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1                                 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL222023               
2100 UTC THU NOV 16 2023                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWENTY-TWO WAS    
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                     
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
 
MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)  19(19)   9(28)   X(28)   X(28)
MAYAGUANA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  12(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
MONTEGO BAY    34  X   1( 1)  15(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
KINGSTON       34  X   1( 1)  16(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG                                                     
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