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POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWENTY-TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL222023
1500 UTC FRI NOV 17 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  79.1W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N  79.1W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N  79.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 19.3N  76.8W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 21.9N  73.3W...TROPICAL STORM
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 25.2N  68.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 28.3N  64.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  40SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 31.8N  61.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  40SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N  79.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 17/1800Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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