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Hurricane Lee Advisory Number 14
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132023
500 PM AST Fri Sep 08 2023
...CORE OF POWERFUL HURRICANE LEE EXPECTED TO PASS WELL NORTH OF
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THIS WEEKEND...
...DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
AROUND THE WESTERN ATLANTIC THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...18.9N 55.5W
ABOUT 500 MI...805 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
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At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lee was located
near latitude 18.9 North, longitude 55.5 West. Lee is moving toward
the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this motion is
expected to continue through early next week with a significant
decrease in forward speed. On the forecast track, Lee is expected
to pass well to the north of the northern Leeward Islands, the
Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico over the weekend and into early
next week.
Maximum sustained winds are near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher
gusts. Lee is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely
over the next few days, however Lee is expected to remain a
powerful major hurricane through early next week.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 942 mb (27.82 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Lee can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion
under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header WTNT43 KNHC and on the
web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml
SURF: Swells generated by Lee are affecting portions of the
Lesser Antilles, and will reach the British and U.S. Virgin
Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos Islands, the
Bahamas, and Bermuda this weekend. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Dangerous surf and
rip currents are expected to begin along most of the U.S. East Coast
beginning Sunday and Monday. Please consult products from your
local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
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Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Brown
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