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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122023
1500 UTC FRI SEP 01 2023
 
NOTICE... LAND-BASED TROPICAL CYCLONE WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE NO
LONGER INCLUDED IN THE TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST/ADVISORY...(TCM).
CURRENT LAND-BASED COASTAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
MOST RECENTLY ISSUED TROPICAL CYCLONE PUBLIC ADVISORY...(TCP).
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  28.3W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.6N  28.3W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  28.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 21.0N  29.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 22.8N  30.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 24.3N  31.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 25.5N  32.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 26.0N  33.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 26.4N  34.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.6N  28.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG
 
 
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