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Remnants Of Roslyn Discussion Number  17
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP192022
1000 PM CDT Sun Oct 23 2022
 
Surface observations and satellite images indicate that the 
low-level circulation of Roslyn has dissipated over east-central 
Mexico.  The system is now primarily a lower-tropospheric vorticity 
maximum, which should continue to weaken overnight and ultimately 
be absorbed into a frontal boundary over Texas tomorrow.

Roslyn's remnants are moving quickly northeastward, at about 040/19 
kt.  This general motion should continue into early Monday.  
Although a 12-hour forecast position is provided for continuity, it 
is likely that the system will have lost its identity by that time. 

This is the last advisory on Roslyn.


Key Messages:
 
1. Lingering heavy rainfall from the remnants of Roslyn could lead 
to flash flooding and possible landslides in areas of rugged 
terrain over coastal west-central Mexico.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  24/0300Z 26.0N 101.0W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  24/1200Z 28.0N  99.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  25/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch
 
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