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TROPICAL STORM PAINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172022
0300 UTC TUE OCT 04 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 112.3W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 20NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 112.3W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 112.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 17.2N 112.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 18.0N 113.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.7N 113.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 19.1N 114.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 19.3N 114.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 19.3N 115.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 112.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
 
 
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