ZCZC MIATCMEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ORLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162022
0900 UTC FRI SEP 30 2022
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF WESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ORLENE. WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS MORNING FOR
A PORTION OF THAT COASTLINE.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 106.9W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 106.9W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 106.8W
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 16.6N 107.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.4N 107.4W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.2N 107.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.3N 107.1W
MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.5N 106.8W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 21.8N 106.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 23.8N 106.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N 106.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER LATTO
NNNN