ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152022
2100 UTC WED SEP 21 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 105.3W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 105.3W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 104.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 17.5N 106.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 17.8N 107.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 17.9N 108.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.2N 110.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 18.5N 111.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 18.9N 112.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 105.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI/JELSEMA
 
 
NNNN