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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Madeline Advisory Number   3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP142022
300 AM MDT Sun Sep 18 2022
 
...BROAD MADELINE STILL MOVING NORTHWARD BUT EXPECTED TO TURN 
NORTHWESTWARD IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHWESTERN COAST 
OF MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 106.6W
ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SSW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 420 MI...670 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Watch along
the coast of southwestern Mexico from Manzanillo northward to Cabo
Corrientes.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Manzanillo northward to Cabo Corrientes
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case over the next 24 to 36
hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Madeline was 
located near latitude 17.7 North, longitude 106.6 West. Madeline is 
moving toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h). A gradual turn toward 
the northwest and then the west is expected through early this week.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. 
Some slight strengthening is possible over the next day or so. 
Weakening is forecast to begin later this week.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Madeline can be found in the 
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO 
header WTPZ44 KNHC and on the web at 
hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDEP4.shtml. 

RAINFALL: Outer bands from Madeline are forecast to produce rainfall
totals of 3 to 6 inches with local maximum totals of 8 inches today
into Monday across mainly coastal portions of the following Mexican
States: Colima, Jalisco, and Nayarit.
 
These heavy rains may produce localized flash and urban flooding,
along with possible mudslides in areas of higher coastal terrain.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area today through Monday.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Madeline will affect portions of the 
southwest coast of Mexico for the next few days. High surf 
associated with Madeline will spread northward and begin to affect 
the coast of Baja California today into Monday. These swells are 
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  
Please consult products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 600 AM MDT.
Next complete advisory at 900 AM MDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Papin
 
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