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BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Lester Advisory Number   7
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP132022
400 AM CDT Sat Sep 17 2022
 
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS MORNING IN
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
...HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.4N 98.6W
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM SE OF ACAPULCO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Puerto Escondido to Zihuatanejo
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* West of Zihuatanejo to Lazaro Cardenas
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 12
hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 12 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lester was
located near latitude 15.4 North, longitude 98.6 West. Lester is
moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h) and this motion is
expected to continue through today. On the forecast track, the
center of the cyclone is expected to move near or over the coast of
southwestern Mexico later today, and dissipate over southwestern
Mexico Sunday morning.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. 
Gradual strengthening is forecast until the center crosses the coast 
of Mexico.  Rapid weakening is expected after landfall.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Lester can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header
WTPZ43 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDEP3.shtml.
 
RAINFALL: Lester is forecast to produce the following additional 
rainfall across coastal portions of the following Mexican states 
through Sunday:

Western Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, into Jalisco: 3 to 6 
inches with local maximum totals of 12 inches.

These rains may produce flash and urban flooding, along with 
possible mudslides in areas of higher coastal terrain.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach portions of
the coast within the tropical storm warning area this morning, and
are possible within the tropical storm watch area by this afternoon.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by Lester are affecting portions of the
coast of southern and southwestern Mexico and this will continue
into the weekend. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult products from your
local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Bucci
 
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