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BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Thirteen-E Advisory Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP132022
1000 PM CDT Thu Sep 15 2022
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION STILL MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD...
...HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.8N 95.8W
ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM SSE OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM SSE OF PUERTO ESCONDIDO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Laguna de Chacahua westward to Zihuatanejo
 
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
 
A Tropical Storm Warning will likely be required for portions of
the watch area later tonight or Friday morning.  Interests
elsewhere along the southwestern coast of Mexico should monitor the
progress of this system.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Thirteen-E was located near latitude 12.8 North, longitude 95.8
West.  The depression is moving toward the northwest near 3 mph (6
km/h).  A northwestward motion with an increase in forward speed is
expected over the next couple of days.  On the forecast track, the
center of the cyclone is expected to move near or over the coast of 
southwestern Mexico Saturday or Saturday night.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days, 
and the depression is forecast to become a tropical storm tonight 
or Friday.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  The system is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3-6 
inches with local totals of 10 inches across coastal portions of the 
Mexican States of Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima, and possibly 
Jalisco through Sunday. These rains may produce flash and urban 
flooding, along with isolated mudslides in areas of higher terrain 
near the coast. 
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area beginning early Saturday.
 
SURF:  Swells generated by the depression are expected to begin
affecting portions of the coast of southern Mexico by late Friday
and continue into the weekend.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Beven
 
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