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TROPICAL STORM KAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122022
2100 UTC SUN SEP 04 2022
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR KAY.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 102.5W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 11 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 102.5W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 102.0W
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.1N 104.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.6N 106.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 50NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.4N 107.8W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 17.6N 109.5W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 30NW.
50 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 120SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 19.2N 110.9W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 70NW.
34 KT...200NE 180SE 120SW 170NW.
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 21.1N 112.0W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE 70SW 80NW.
34 KT...210NE 190SE 150SW 180NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 24.9N 113.6W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 28.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 102.5W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
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