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TROPICAL STORM JAVIER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112022
2100 UTC SAT SEP 03 2022
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH 
FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR MEXICO FROM CABO SAN LUCAS 
NORTHWARD TO PUERTO SAN ANDRESITO AND THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR 
THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR MEXICO FROM CABO SAN LUCAS 
NORTHWARD TO BAHIA SAN JUAN BAUTISTA
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR MEXICO FROM PUERTO SAN
ANDRESITO NORTHWARD TO PUNTA EUGENIA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE...WITHIN
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 116.1W AT 03/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 180SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 116.1W AT 03/2100Z
AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.7N 115.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 27.0N 117.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 27.6N 120.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 27.9N 123.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 27.8N 125.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 27.4N 128.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 27.0N 130.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 26.7N 132.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 26.7N 135.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N 116.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 04/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BUCCI/REINHART
 
 
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