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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092022
2100 UTC SAT AUG 06 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 106.8W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 106.8W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 106.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 15.9N 108.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.1N 110.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 18.4N 111.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 19.8N 113.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 20.8N 115.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.7N 116.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 23.0N 120.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 24.0N 123.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 106.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
 
 
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