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HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052022
2100 UTC WED JUL 13 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 136.7W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  75SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 136.7W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 136.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 15.7N 138.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.3N 141.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.7N 143.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.8N 146.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.7N 149.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.5N 152.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 136.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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