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HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052022
0300 UTC TUE JUL 12 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 126.6W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  954 MB
EYE DIAMETER   5 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..135NE 120SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 126.6W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 125.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 15.0N 128.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.1N 131.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 15.5N 133.9W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.1N 136.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.7N 139.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 17.3N 141.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 17.6N 147.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 17.4N 153.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 126.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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