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TROPICAL STORM BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042022
2100 UTC SAT JUL 02 2022
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENTS OF NICARAGUA AND COSTA RICA HAVE DISCONTINUED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE PACIFIC COASTS OF EL SALVADOR...GUATEMALA...AND
SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF BONNIE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  88.0W AT 02/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N  88.0W AT 02/2100Z
AT 02/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N  87.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 11.4N  89.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 12.0N  92.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 12.8N  95.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 13.7N  98.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 14.6N 101.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.2N 104.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 15.9N 108.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 16.4N 112.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N  88.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER HOGSETT
 
 
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