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TROPICAL STORM CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  34
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032022
0300 UTC SAT JUN 25 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 109.6W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  90SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 109.6W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 109.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.2N 110.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.7N 112.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.1N 113.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 19.7N 115.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.2N 117.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  40SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 20.9N 119.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 21.8N 124.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 22.5N 130.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 109.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
 
 
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