ZCZC MIATCDEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Depression Celia Discussion Number 48 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP032022 800 AM PDT Tue Jun 28 2022 The slow but steady decay of Celia has continued this morning. The coldest cloud tops near the center of Celia have warmed to around -40 deg C, a sign that it is no longer producing organized deep convection. The depression is moving over water colder than 22 deg C, so further decay is inevitable. It is likely that Celia will become a post-tropical remnant low later today. The estimated intensity remains 30 kt for this advisory. Weakening is likely during the next few days while Celia is steered west-northwestward by a ridge extending southwest from the southwestern United States. Various dynamical models indicate that Celia will dissipate into a trough in about 2-3 days. No changes of note were made to the NHC forecast, which is near the multi-model consensus for both track and intensity. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/1500Z 22.3N 120.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 29/0000Z 23.0N 121.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 29/1200Z 23.7N 123.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 30/0000Z 24.2N 125.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 30/1200Z 24.6N 126.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Saturday, 31-Dec-2022 12:09:50 UTC