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TROPICAL STORM BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022022
0300 UTC SAT JUN 18 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 110.2W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE  80SE  70SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 110.2W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 109.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.0N 111.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.3N 112.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.4N 113.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.4N 114.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 18.4N 115.2W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 18.5N 116.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 19.0N 118.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 110.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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