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HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP022022
0300 UTC FRI JUN 17 2022
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 106.5W AT 17/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 210SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 106.5W AT 17/0300Z
AT 17/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 106.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.3N 108.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 18.0N 110.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.4N 112.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  70SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.7N 113.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.7N 114.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.5N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 18.1N 117.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 18.1N 119.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.5N 106.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BUCCI
 
 
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