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HURRICANE BLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022022
0300 UTC THU JUN 16 2022
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 103.7W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT.
64 KT....... 0NE 15SE 15SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 40SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE 80SE 80SW 80NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 120SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 103.7W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 103.3W
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 15.8N 104.6W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 15SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.4N 106.3W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 17.1N 108.3W
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.7N 110.2W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 18.2N 111.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 60SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 18.6N 113.1W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 10SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0000Z 18.8N 115.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 18.3N 116.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 103.7W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BUCCI
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