ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Depression Blas Discussion Number 25 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022022 300 AM MDT Mon Jun 20 2022 There is little or no deep convection remaining in association with Blas, aside from a few showers well removed from the center over the northeastern quadrant. A scatterometer pass revealed that there are no longer winds of tropical storm force in the circulation. Therefore the system is being downgraded to a tropical depression on this advisory. Given the lack of deep convection, it is likely that Blas will degenerate into a remnant low later today. The cyclone should continue to spin down in an unfavorable atmospheric and oceanic environment, and open up into a trough in a couple of days. Blas continues to move slowly westward, or 275/4 kt. This general motion should persist, within the low-level easterly flow, until the system dissipates. The NHC track forecast remains very close to the previous one and to the model consensus aids. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/0900Z 19.1N 113.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 20/1800Z 19.2N 114.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 21/0600Z 19.4N 115.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 21/1800Z 19.6N 116.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 22/0600Z 19.6N 116.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Pasch NNNN
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