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Tropical Depression Blas Discussion Number 25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP022022
300 AM MDT Mon Jun 20 2022
There is little or no deep convection remaining in association with
Blas, aside from a few showers well removed from the center over
the northeastern quadrant. A scatterometer pass revealed that
there are no longer winds of tropical storm force in the
circulation. Therefore the system is being downgraded to a
tropical depression on this advisory. Given the lack of deep
convection, it is likely that Blas will degenerate into a remnant
low later today. The cyclone should continue to spin down in an
unfavorable atmospheric and oceanic environment, and open up into a
trough in a couple of days.
Blas continues to move slowly westward, or 275/4 kt. This general
motion should persist, within the low-level easterly flow,
until the system dissipates. The NHC track forecast remains very
close to the previous one and to the model consensus aids.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 20/0900Z 19.1N 113.3W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 20/1800Z 19.2N 114.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 21/0600Z 19.4N 115.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 21/1800Z 19.6N 116.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 22/0600Z 19.6N 116.8W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
60H 22/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Pasch
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