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Hurricane Agatha Advisory Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012022
400 AM CDT Mon May 30 2022
...SUSTAINED TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS NOW OCCURRING ALONG THE
COAST OF OAXACA...
...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVER
OAXACA THROUGH THE DAY...
SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM SW OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...964 MB...28.47 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Salina Cruz to Lagunas de Chacahua
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* Salina Cruz eastward to Barra De Tonala
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Salina Cruz eastward to Boca de Pijijiapan
* Lagunas de Chacahua westward to Punta Maldonado
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
Interests elsewhere in southern Mexico should closely monitor the
progress of Agatha.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Agatha was located
near latitude 14.8 North, longitude 97.7 West. Agatha is moving
toward the northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h), and this general motion
is expected to continue through Tuesday. On the forecast track,
the center of Agatha will make landfall in the state of Oaxaca,
Mexico, this afternoon or this evening.
Maximum sustained winds are near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is expected today before Agatha
reaches the coast of Oaxaca. Rapid weakening is expected after
landfall, and Agatha is forecast to dissipate over southeastern
Mexico by late Tuesday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles
The estimated minimum central pressure is 964 mb (28.47 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning
area and possible in the watch area by this afternoon or this
evening. Tropical storm conditions have begun along the coast
of Oaxaca and will spread eastward within the warning area through
STORM SURGE: Storm surge is expected to produce extremely dangerous
coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds near and to the east of
where the center of Agatha makes landfall. Near the coast, the
surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
RAINFALL: Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern
Mexico through Tuesday night. The following rainfall amounts are
Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum
amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides may occur.
Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum
amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides may occur.
Mexican states of Veracruz, Tabasco and eastern portions of
Guerrero: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches
SURF: Large swells generated by Agatha will affect the coast of
southern Mexico during the next couple of days. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.