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Tropical Storm Agatha Advisory Number 3
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012022
1000 AM CDT Sat May 28 2022
...AGATHA MOVING SLOWLY OFF SOUTHERN MEXICO...
...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TO A HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES THE
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM SW OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* The southern coast of Mexico from Salina Cruz to Punta Maldonado
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
Interests elsewhere in southern Mexico should closely monitor the
progress of Agatha. Additional watches and warnings will likely be
required for portions of this area later today.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Agatha was
located near latitude 13.2 North, longitude 98.4 West. Agatha is
moving toward the west-northwest near 5 mph (7 km/h). A turn toward
the northwest is expected later today, followed by a turn toward the
northeast by Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Agatha
will approach the southern coast of Mexico on Sunday and make
landfall there on Monday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Additional steady to rapid strengthening is forecast, and Agatha is
expected to become a hurricane on Sunday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible within the hurricane watch
area on Monday, with tropical storm conditions possible late
Sunday or early Monday.
STORM SURGE: Storm surge could produce coastal flooding near and to
the east of where the center passes the coast in areas of onshore
winds. The surge may be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
RAINFALL: Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of
southern Mexico by Sunday into Tuesday night. The following rainfall
amounts are currently expected:
Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum
amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and
mudslides may occur.
Mexican states of Chiapas and the eastern portions of Guerrero: 5 to
10 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible.
Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur.
Mexican states of Vera Cruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with
isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible.
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.