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HURRICANE NICOLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172022
0300 UTC THU NOV 10 2022
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NICOLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
DANVILLE VA 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
FLORENCE SC 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
COLUMBIA SC 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CHARLESTON SC 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 13 2(15) 1(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
ATLANTA GA 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
AUGUSTA GA 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
SAVANNAH GA 34 20 2(22) 1(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
KINGS BAY GA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WAYCROSS GA 34 46 10(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
JACKSONVILLE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GAINESVILLE FL 50 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
DAYTONA BEACH 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
THE VILLAGES 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
THE VILLAGES 50 2 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
THE VILLAGES 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
ORLANDO FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ORLANDO FL 50 14 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
ORLANDO FL 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
COCOA BEACH FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
COCOA BEACH FL 50 14 X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
COCOA BEACH FL 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PATRICK AFB 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
PATRICK AFB 50 14 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
PATRICK AFB 64 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
FT PIERCE FL 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT PIERCE FL 50 60 X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
FT PIERCE FL 64 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
W PALM BEACH 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
FT LAUDERDALE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MIAMI FL 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HOMESTEAD ARB 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
NAPLES FL 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
FT MYERS FL 34 20 X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
VENICE FL 34 30 X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30)
TAMPA FL 34 87 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
TAMPA FL 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
CEDAR KEY FL 34 75 14(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89)
CEDAR KEY FL 50 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
CEDAR KEY FL 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 21 34(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
ST MARKS FL 34 26 35(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
APALACHICOLA 34 14 6(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 11 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 6 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GRAND BAHAMA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
GRAND BAHAMA 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEW PROVIDENCE 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ANDROS 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
NNNN
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